GREEN BAY PACKERS
Home Field (dis)Advantage: While the Packers have always been known for their dominance on the Frozen Tundra in front of their home crowd, the last 4 years tell a different story. Green Bay has struggled to strike fear into opponents, as the Packers are only 16-19 SU and a dismal 11-22-2 ATS, failing to cover more than half their home contests. Compare that to the 2002 season where Green Bay was 8-0 SU at home, and 5-3 ATS, and you can really see the downhill slide the Packers are on. It all started when Mike Vick and the Falcons walked into Green Bay on January 4th and beat the Packers 27-7 in the ’02 playoffs. Since then, there hasn’t been a home-field advantage in Green Bay.
Over or Under: The Packers are 32-34-2 O/U over their last 4 seasons. At home, the Packers hold opponents to low totals, and don’t score much themselves, finishing at or under the total in 21 of 45 games (14-20-1 O/U). On the road, the Pack is just about opposite, going 18-13-1 O/U over that same span.
Against the Spread: Against the spread, the Packers are 30-34-4 over the last 4 years. The surprising stat is how bad they are ATS at home. Green Bay has turned their home-field advantage upside down, struggling to a 11-22-2 ATS record in Wisconsin. On the road, the Pack have turned it up a notch, going 19-12-2 ATS. The tables have turned since the Packers’ glory days, but a trend is a trend is a trend. As a home underdog, the Packers are 1-4-1 ATS since 2005.
Straight Up: While the last 4 years have been on the downside of Brett Favre’s career, the long-time great has managed to lead the Packers to a near .500 record, 33-35. As a home favorite since 2003, the Packers are only 17-12, which really isn’t that good. For example, the Ravens are 26-5 and the Colts are 31-6 over that time span. As an underdog at home, the Packers are 0-6 in 2005 and 2006. I’ve been on the wrong end of a couple of those.
Better Away: As it seems, the Packers are better in almost every category away from Green Bay. As the road team, the Packers are 19-12-2 ATS compared to 11-22-2 ATS at home. Straight up, the Packers are 17-15 on the road compared to 15-17 at home. At home, the Packers are an Under team while they are usually an Over squad away from home. They are better as a favorite and as a dog on the road than they are for either at home. Its crazy to think about, but the old-school home field dominance in Green Bay seems to be a thing o the past.
