Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) (+155):
Johnny Cueto might not have great numbers, but he’ll come around. Against a team like the Pirates he’s liable to pitch a no-no late into the game. He’s also a rookie, so it’s possible that he loses his composure early. Here’s the deal. Ian Snell hasn’t been able to find the strike zone, and Cincinnati will take advantage of that. If Cueto has his B game or higher, the Reds will torment the Pirates and win by more than enough runs to cover. It’s a little risky, sure, but the +155 payout makes this a nice bet.