Nevada Wolf Pack
Nevada -6.5 (tonite)
Nevada has
owned this series the past 2 years, 48-21 last year and 48-24 two years ago on this field. The stats supported the 2 blowout wins, with Nevada gaining 19 more first downs and 333 more offensive yards in those 2 games. Nevada runs the
“pistol” offense, which is a hybrid spread offense/option offense. Its somewhat unique and tough for teams to prepare for. I think that is big for us here. N Mex St played last week in Hawaii, a midnight game that
literally didn't finish until midnight New Mexico St time. Now they have to play on a short week with literally only a couple of days to prepare for this pistol offense, an offense that they've struggled to stop in recent years. It's a
brutal spot for the Aggies.
The Wolf Pack are
playing very good football. While their 2-2 in their last 4 games, 2 of those losses were to the class of the WAC, a 7 point loss to Fresno St and a 2 point quadruple OT loss vs Boise. They should have beaten Fresno outright, as they
completely dominated the game statistically (15 more 1st downs and 225 more total yards than Fresno) but gave up a blocked FG for a TD and punt return for a TD. If they post a win vs Fresno and obviously they could have easily won their quadruple OT game, this team would be riding a 6 game win streak and easily be a
10 point favorite in this game. Nevada is the better team, playing better football and have a big time scheduling edge. I'm on the Wolfpack
laying less than a TD.
